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Web Design Predictions for 2011

Predictions for web design in 2011Fragmentation and Specialization

Desktop, Mobile, Touch, 10-foot… The market is becoming flush with many new gadgets and technology. From Internet-TV to SmartPhones, everything is accessing data from as wide a variety of sources and with as wide a variety of design challenges. After many recent advances in HTML standards the desktop browser market is maturing with support for controlled presentation of text, graphics and interactive media. Some of that is changing thanks to the fragmentation of media by several consumption changes that are growing in 2011.

Enter the growing mobile market. Within the next 5 years, it is expected that the consumption of content will more likely take place on a mobile device than a desktop or laptop. This challenge is being met be designers right now. Although smaller resolution device present some hurdles for designers, advances in mobile browsers have made adaption intuitive.

Add now, the tablet market. With Apple’s iPad the leader, Adobe’s Flash plug-in has become the pariah of the internet development community. Although a strong technology with incredible market saturation it is suffering from a bad rap. Regardless, there is a move to HTML5 and JavaScript technologies for video delivery. There is also a move back to a more conservative 1024 X 768 browser resolution for usability. All of these changes influenced by personal, less-powerful mobile browsing and media consumption platforms.

The Logitech Review runs Google TV and offers a completely new vehicle for content creatorsInternet TV consoles are going to be big players in the consumer space this year. Devices that can search the web for video and audio content and deliver it to your living room with the ease of a Google search. Google, Apple, Boxee and Roku are all contenters in this space and the winners will take a huge portion of our couch-time. To designers: Your media should be streamlined for the consumption in short-burst from a couch-born viewer. This user interface, the 10-foot interface is presented by the device. By most specs (Google, Boxee and Roku) your presentation is stripped and data held on the page presented by proxy for the waiting viewer.

HTML5

HTML5 will spread its wings in 2011. Coming on strong in 2010, HTML5 has seen a respectable uptake. The ability for developers to deploy HTML5 classes and methods and still have the ability to support older browsers like Internet Explorer 6 presents a lot of flexibility. This, combined with the search benefits of HTML5 content hierarchy makes it a logical choice for anyone developing a new website.

2011 will bring a new crop of devices that access the internet. Almost all will provide support for the HTML5 spec and all will support a transitional specification. Apple’s iOS devices for example have been able to supply strong video support and overcome the incompatibility with Adobe’s Flash only because of HTML5’s media ability.

IE9 IconHTML5’s rise will also come at the cost of aging corporate hardware. Enterprise, making up a majority of the IE6 instances still in the wild, will be forced to abandon older Windows hardware still in the workforce. Facilitated by the stability and warm reception on Windows7 and also a waining support for WindowsXP by Microsoft, new hardware introduced into the field will have better software support for HTML5. The introduction of a new browser, IE9, will mark an official entry into modern browsing by Microsoft.

Fonts

A maturing web is becoming a beautiful place. Once the bastion of print-designers, unique fonts are now becoming a coming commonplace for web designers. This past year, independent developers, font-houses and design-collective began widespread use of tools that can embed, stream and deliver to the end-user fonts for use in rendering webpages.

These new technologies employ several methods and tactics with as wide a range of executions. They all promise to deliver platform agnostic typographic freedom from the somewhat stale, though reliable, suite of fonts that have been used to build every webpage in the last 15 years.

TypeKit, FontSquirel and Google are a few of the leaders in this space. All provide transparent fall-backs for developers in the event that a solution is not supported of there is a technology failure. This combined with commonplace broadband to feed the solution to end users presents an new playground for designer, developers and content owners.

The effect is fantastic: unique designs, once only executed by embedding images, is done by feeding a temporary file for font rendering. It is lightweight for the end-user and allows the site to be accessible to all devices (with and without font support). The palette of fonts is growing everyday and the devices supporting custom fonts is growing as well.

Although every operating system interprets and presents fonts in its own way, the essence of custom fonts gives designers the ability to express themselves and their brands in a whole new way never before available to their visitors.

Giving Up On The Fold

There is no fold. I had never been especially concerned about the fold. I’ve worked on many projects where the discussion of “the fold” led to some seriously compromised designs. The argument about the fold is typically transference for too many or not properly designed call-to-action items. A well designed page (with strong content) should have a user scanning the page, clicking deeper or committing (or not) to reading the content and scrolling the page until they consume all that they want, or need to.

The growth of the mobile market, the emergence of tablets (representing a return to the 1024 x 768 standard) and the popularity of add-ons and toolbars, the fold leaves designers with solutions that look more like a print-spread than a dynamic web page. Most users are visiting websites with a distinct intention. Determining that intention and making that actionable is much more important to the designer than proving a multitude of visible destinations to the user.

If you are fortunate enough to design or create content for a website that has a large percentage of browsing users, or are driving traffic to the homepage on a product website, you should be directing users to several key destinations. By offering users too many options from the homepage, you may end up overwhelming or confusing them. Focusing calls-to-action is also a way to capture information about your audience. If you are able to segment them to key areas, you can better address their individual needs with more niche links and actionable items within the site.

Listening For What Works

What will web design be like in 2011?No matter what trends emerge for 2011, you should take the new year as an opportunity to look at your analytics. Google’s solution is free and provide in-depth reporting on your users, your content and also offers A-B testing so you can determine how your designs are effecting user behavior and traffic.

Google Chrome Web Store

Google Chrome Web Store and the future of thin client computingI write about Google quite a bit. They tend to make some very big waves in the industry and effect not only the anthropological group that I belong to, but the public as a whole. The announcement of the Google Chrome Web Store is no exception. The new store, designed to support a pending roll-out of the new Google Chrome OS, makes a lot of sense. The operating system, based entirely on connection to the internet for utility, will need it’s equivalent to the AppStore. In its current form I wasn’t sure on whether it was without use or without a home.

At first, the store seems a bit out of place. Why would anyone want to “install” a bookmark? Or root themselves to one location for their webapps? Sync.

Google’s Chrome browser supports a synchronization feature that, when logged into from any computer, duplicates your browser’s apps and all of the accounts and web applications that you are using. And, with a web-based application, all of your settings and files are identical as well. The real offering is a move towards a “thin-client” that has Google at the hub of your online experience. A move away from the desktop OS, away from platforms and away from boxed software packages.

For the enterprise, this model offers a flexibility that is completely unprecedented. Imagine a sales force that was without reliance on IT support. Or a work-force that could operate virus-free and with continuous and real-time software updates. Templates, pricing schedules, policies could all be updated immediately with no latency or mistaken files.

A brilliant idea. And, like the iPad, Google is starting with the consumer market as both a testing ground and a path to gain confidence with users.

NYC Subway Map Redesign

New York City Subway Map RedesignThe MTA has recently redesigned the New York City Subway Map. Not a drastic change from the 2 previous designs, the new version features additional information about subways lines and expanded visual indications for express and local routes.

New York’s subways maps are a unique piece of history and a part of New York City’s “branding”. For visitor’s, the maps are an integral part of using public transit. For New Yorker’s it’s an embedded icon for navigating those far-reaching parts of the city not frequently visited. Beyond the utilitarian value of the maps, these design pieces are facing travelers coming, going and while on New York’s subterrainian city. Having grown up in New York, the maps represent places I’ve lived, where friends and family are and memories of good times and bad. All of those dots represent day trips, jobs and people I’ve interacted with.

As a kid riding the subway, I remember the Vignelli’s stylized subway map. At that time, it the stylized version of the city was long in the tooth and when I had seen it, usually looked yellow and tired. It still reminds me of an aesthetic that harbors a sense of adventure and newness.

I’m glad to see that the MTA is posting a new version of the map. I don’t feel any nostalgia for the current version. More so than anything else, I’m glad for the big analog infographic that shows a landscape of options to subway riders.

If you’re visiting New York or a have been living there all your life, you can download a PDF of the new MTA Subway Map here.

The MTA has recently redesigned the New York City Subway Map. Not a drastic change from the 2 previous designs, the new version features additional information about subways lines and expanded visual indications for express and local routes.

New York’s subways maps are a unique piece of history and a part of New York City’s “branding”. For visitor’s, the maps are an integral part of using public transit. For New Yorker’s it’s an embedded icon for navigating those far-reaching parts of the city not frequently visited. Beyond the utilitarian value of the maps, these design pieces are facing travelers coming, going and while on New York’s subterrainian city. Having grown up in New York, the maps represent places I’ve lived, where friends and family are and memories of good times and bad. All of those dots represent day trips, jobs and people I’ve interacted with.

As a kid riding the subway, I remember the Vignelli’s stylized subway map. At that time, it the stylized version of the city was long in the tooth and when I had seen it, usually looked yellow and tired. It still reminds me of an aesthetic that harbors a sense of adventure and newness.

I’m glad to see that the MTA is posting a new version of the map. I don’t feel any nostalgia for the current version. More so than anything else, I’m glad for the big analog infographic that shows a landscape of options to subway riders.

If you’re visiting New York or a have been living there all your life, you can download a PDF of the new MTA Subway Map here.

YAAPT (Yet Another Apple Tablet Prediction)

Yet Another Apple Tablet PredictionI thought that I was going to avoid the Apple Tablet rumor bandwagon, but I couldn’t resist: After searching for and reading documentation for Apple’s iTunes Extra and iTunes LP format, I began to think about why Apple had not opened up their SDK sooner. The search for this software was instigated by asking why popular podcasters and vloggers had not begun using this extended format as a vehicle for more immersive experiences for their subscribers. Using a subscription model for the extended format would change how people engage their favorite podcasts and provide a delivery vector for content, visuals and, potentially, advertisements.

In October last year, Apple had announced their plan to introduce the enhanced format to iTunes users. The format allows end users to not only listen to audio content or watch video content, but to browse provided content and interact with the media (effectively replacing the experience large-format vinyl provided). The format is taking advantage of the already provided HTML/CSS/JS support within iTunes and provides an experience akin to a well designed website. The format was met with a luke-warm response, but there were few examples provided in the iTunes store and interest waned.

Why would Apple announce such a review-driven feature with no support or easy method of development? (Apple Rumor): To fold the adoption of this new media-driven format into an Apple Tablet release. Documentation that is provided in the iTunes LP Format SDK indicates that an automated system for submitting produced files is set for early 2010 (coinciding with a yet-to-be announced press release). A tablet device would be an ideal vehicle for browsing the LP or iTunes Extra format with a defined navigation structure and click-driven user interface. The distribution vehicle would be built-in with the Apple iTunes ecosystem already widely adopted by the audience.

I think my prediction is a conservative, but I do not think that Apple will introduce a completely alien solution to the idea of the “Tablet” as a device. What is likely is that they will provide a fantastic piece of hardware housing an adaptation of an already excellent user interface and make the tablet something it has not been since it’s introduction to the public by Microsoft in 2001: desirable.

If you are subscribing to my rumor idea, download the Apple iTunes Extra SDK and be ready for the Apple Tablet craze.

Apple Tablet Prediction by CullmannDesign

Google Chrome OS

Google Chrome OS for the everday citizen

Google Chrome OS for the everday citizen

Google released a developer version of their new operating system this week: Chrome OS. The operating system is a derivative of Linux and is designed as a no-cost alternative to windows and mac OS X. The developer preview is spare and is designed to give developers a chance to create applications and extensions for the new operating system as much as to give the public a preview. When originally announced in July, industry speculation was that this new OS would be a game changer: That Windows should be worried, that Apple should be worried. This speculation was based not on the availability of a new, free operating system (there are several excellent free OSs available, Ubuntu the most popular), but on the Google cache alone.

Based on the initial release, I’m not sure that Chrome OS is the holy grail that was initially anticipated. Although it has many benefits,; no-cost, easy of use, an ecosystem of well designed, free, web-based applications, I don’t see this as a substitute laptop or desktop solution for most users.

I do believe that the Chrome OS will be a competitor for Windows in a fractured market, the “second computer”. Unlike several years ago, there are many people who use a computer for many different things, work, personal organization, communication, socializing, entertainment. This space between ‘working’ and ‘playing’ is well defined and although mobile platforms like the iPhone and Android fill the space very well, not everyone has a phone capable of a good web experience. Enter the Netbook category (and Chrome OS by proxy). The low-cost, low-power computers are ideal for the casual user who wants to update FaceBook, shop online, watch a few youtube clips and exchange e-mails with friends. Google is in a prime position to own the destination and the vehicle to get their.

Google does not have a very good track record for marketing. There have been only a hand full of commercials or ads to promote their applications or services. The few ads have promoted their mobile initiatives. Most recently the Verizon Droid release. If Google is able to partner with hardware manufacturers and enter the retail space, they can easily take a market-share comparable to the Apple’s in the home computer space.

The final piece of the Chrome OS puzzle is how Google is planning to incorporate their advertising based business model into a computer platform. Android is a similar model and they have taken a very conservative, user-experience focused approach with little or no advertising besides what is already in their web-based apps. A full-operating system does present opportunity to capture user data (even if aggregate) to better target and model advertising.

You can read more about Google Chrome on Google’s Blog or a comprehensive third-party perspective at CNET.

About Cullmann

Chris Cullmann is a Creative Director and Online Strategist. He works for Ogilvy CommonHealth Interactive Marketing, a digital agency dedicated to healthcare marketing. His professional and personal portfolio includes interactive websites, viral and social media, and online education applications. His portfolio and observations about the design and marketing industry can be found at www.cullmanndesign.com

The opinions expressed on this site are my own and do not reflect those of my employer or those who I am professionally connected.

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